Hector Santiago vs Journey Newson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'5"
69"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
Team Lucas MineiroTeamImpact Jiu Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1642
If they lose-24→ 1594
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hector SantiagoJourney Newson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hector Santiago66%
Journey Newson 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hector Santiago a 66% favorite over Journey Newson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1618), separated by just 0 points.
Hector Santiago enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Journey Newson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hector Santiago finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Journey Newson 60%.
Hector Santiago carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.