Herbert Burns vs Isaac Thomson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record9-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
73"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Herbert BurnsIsaac Thomson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Isaac Thomson70%
Herbert Burns 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Thomson a 70% favorite over Herbert Burns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.
Herbert Burns enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Herbert Burns finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Isaac Thomson 56%.
Herbert Burns carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.