Herdem Alacabek vs John Allan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record18-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Black HouseTeamChute Boxe· 1678 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Herdem AlacabekJohn Allan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Herdem Alacabek62%
John Allan 38%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Herdem Alacabek a 62% favorite over John Allan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1609), separated by just 7 points.
John Allan enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Herdem Alacabek finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, John Allan 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.