Combat Edge Intelligence

Herdem Alacabek vs Leonardo Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record22-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Black HouseTeamChina Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Herdem AlacabekNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
Leonardo SilvaNow 1616
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
1.07
66%
Strike accuracy
40%
6.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.54
23%
Strike defense
50%
2.06
Takedown avg.
24.11
50%
Takedown accuracy
50%
43%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Herdem AlacabekLeonardo Silva
16001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
2 (40%)
Submission
4 (18%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Herdem Alacabek51%
Leonardo Silva 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Herdem Alacabek a 51% favorite over Leonardo Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1616), separated by just 0 points.

Leonardo Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Herdem Alacabek finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Silva 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.