Combat Edge Intelligence

Herdem Alacabek vs Marcin Prachnio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record17-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach74"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Black HouseTeamTatsujin Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Herdem AlacabekNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
Marcin PrachnioNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
66%
Strike accuracy
54%
6.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
23%
Strike defense
54%
2.06
Takedown avg.
0.15
50%
Takedown accuracy
20%
43%
Takedown defense
54%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Herdem AlacabekMarcin Prachnio
1600165020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
2 (40%)
Submission
1 (6%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Herdem Alacabek70%
Marcin Prachnio 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Herdem Alacabek a 70% favorite over Marcin Prachnio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1611), separated by just 5 points.

Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Herdem Alacabek finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Prachnio 71%.

Herdem Alacabek and Marcin Prachnio share 1 common opponent: William Knight.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Loss Ground & Pound · 2019
William Knight
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023