AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Herdem Alacabek vs Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record10-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Black HouseTeamMMA Jeddah Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Herdem AlacabekNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
Mostafa Abada Rashed NedaNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
66%
Strike accuracy
Not available
6.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
23%
Strike defense
Not available
2.06
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
43%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Herdem AlacabekMostafa Abada Rashed Neda
16001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
2 (40%)
Submission
2 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda68%
Herdem Alacabek 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda a 68% favorite over Herdem Alacabek in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1619), separated by just 3 points.

Herdem Alacabek finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.