Combat Edge Intelligence

Hernani Perpetuo vs Victor Valenzuela

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hernani PerpetuoNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601
Victor ValenzuelaNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.73
Sig. strikes / min
1.28
29%
Strike accuracy
100%
4.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
55%
Strike defense
0%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
38%
Takedown defense
0%
0.50
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hernani PerpetuoVictor Valenzuela
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (48%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
5 (24%)
Submission
2 (14%)
6 (29%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Victor Valenzuela70%
Hernani Perpetuo 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Victor Valenzuela a 70% favorite over Hernani Perpetuo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hernani Perpetuo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1613), separated by just 0 points.

Victor Valenzuela enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Hernani Perpetuo finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Victor Valenzuela 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.