Combat Edge Intelligence

Holly Holm vs Nora Cornolle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Holly Holm
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Holly Holm

“The Preacher's Daughter”

15-7-0BantamweightBoxing

1635Solid

Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record9-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam Cornolle

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Holly HolmNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
Nora CornolleNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
2.75
41%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.98
55%
Strike defense
58%
0.87
Takedown avg.
0.25
30%
Takedown accuracy
11%
76%
Takedown defense
47%
0.06
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Holly HolmNora Cornolle
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (22%)
7 (47%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Nora Cornolle66%
Holly Holm 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Nora Cornolle a 66% favorite over Holly Holm in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Holly Holm's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1631), separated by just 4 points.

Holly Holm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nora Cornolle enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Holly Holm finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Nora Cornolle 89%.

Holly Holm carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.