Holly Holm vs Raquel Pennington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record16-9-0
BantamweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAltitude MMA
What's at stake
Raquel Pennington is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Holly Holm carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1653
If they lose-14→ 1621
If they win+14→ 1689
If they lose-18→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Holly HolmRaquel Pennington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raquel Pennington70%
Holly Holm 30%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Raquel Pennington a 70% favorite over Holly Holm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Raquel Pennington holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1635, a 40-point edge.
Holly Holm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Holly Holm finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Raquel Pennington 31%.
Holly Holm and Raquel Pennington share 3 common opponents: Mayra Bueno Silva, Ketlen Vieira and Irene Aldana.
Holly Holm carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.