Combat Edge Intelligence

Homer Moore vs Luke Fernandez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Homer Moore
us

Homer Moore

“Rock”

26-9-2Light HeavyweightAPC

1619Solid

Tale of the tape

26-9-2Record6-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
TeamDante Rivera BJJ· 1664 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Homer MooreNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Luke FernandezNow 1612
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.68
Sig. strikes / min
32
50%
Strike accuracy
100%
0.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0
0%
Strike defense
100%
5.07
Takedown avg.
0
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Homer MooreLuke Fernandez
1550160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (31%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
4 (15%)
Submission
0 (0%)
14 (54%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Luke Fernandez70%
Homer Moore 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Luke Fernandez a 70% favorite over Homer Moore in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Homer Moore's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1612), separated by just 7 points.

Homer Moore finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Luke Fernandez 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.