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Combat Edge Intelligence

Hope Chase vs Melissa Mullins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hope Chase
us

Hope Chase

“Hurricane”

7-3-0BantamweightFFL

1603Solid

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record7-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
TBDReach68"
135 lbsWeight138 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hope ChaseNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587
Melissa MullinsNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.39
Not available
Strike defense
53%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.03
Not available
Takedown accuracy
43%
Not available
Takedown defense
86%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hope ChaseMelissa Mullins
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
4 (57%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Mullins55%
Hope Chase 45%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Mullins a 55% favorite over Hope Chase in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hope Chase's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1596), separated by just 7 points.

Hope Chase enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Melissa Mullins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hope Chase finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Mullins 57%.

Hope Chase and Melissa Mullins share 1 common opponent: Bia Mesquita.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDisqualification (Illegal Upkick) · 2025
Bia Mesquita
LossSubmission · 2026