Hunter Lee vs Ozzy Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'4"
-Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Modern Martial Arts CenterTeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts· 1677 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hunter LeeOzzy Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ozzy Diaz62%
Hunter Lee 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ozzy Diaz a 62% favorite over Hunter Lee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hunter Lee's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.
Hunter Lee enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Hunter Lee finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Ozzy Diaz 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.