Combat Edge Intelligence

Hyuga Miyagawa vs Josh Kwiatkowski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-8-0Record11-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team SmokerTeamAnimo Boxing & MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hyuga MiyagawaNow 1500
If they win+16→ 1516
If they lose-16→ 1484
Josh KwiatkowskiNow 1500
If they win+16→ 1516
If they lose-16→ 1484

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Hyuga MiyagawaJosh Kwiatkowski
140014501500202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (43%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Kwiatkowski54%
Hyuga Miyagawa 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Kwiatkowski a 54% favorite over Hyuga Miyagawa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hyuga Miyagawa's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1500), separated by just 0 points.

Hyuga Miyagawa finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Josh Kwiatkowski 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.