Combat Edge Intelligence

Hyuga Miyagawa vs Lorenzo de Nigris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-8-0Record2-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Team SmokerTeamLigorio Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hyuga MiyagawaNow 1500
If they win+16→ 1516
If they lose-16→ 1484
Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Hyuga MiyagawaLorenzo de Nigris
1400145015001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (100%)
3 (43%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Lorenzo de Nigris59%
Hyuga Miyagawa 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo de Nigris a 59% favorite over Hyuga Miyagawa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1501), separated by just 1 points.

Hyuga Miyagawa finishes 57% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.