Combat Edge Intelligence

Ian Heinisch vs Mike Shipman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ian Heinisch
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Ian Heinisch

“The Hurricane”

14-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1685Good

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record16-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach73.5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Genesis MMATeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ian HeinischNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Mike ShipmanNow 1687
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
1.02
Takedown avg.
TBD
17%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.68
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ian HeinischMike Shipman
1650170017502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
9 (56%)
2 (14%)
Submission
5 (31%)
7 (50%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Shipman53%
Ian Heinisch 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Shipman a 53% favorite over Ian Heinisch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1687), separated by just 2 points.

Ian Heinisch enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ian Heinisch finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mike Shipman 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.