Ian Heinisch vs Nassourdine Imavov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record17-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Genesis MMATeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
Nassourdine Imavov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ian Heinisch carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1706
If they lose-11→ 1674
If they win+11→ 1799
If they lose-21→ 1767
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1738 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ian HeinischNassourdine Imavov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nassourdine Imavov83%
Ian Heinisch 17%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Nassourdine Imavov a 83% favorite over Ian Heinisch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Nassourdine Imavov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1685, a 103-point edge.
Ian Heinisch enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nassourdine Imavov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ian Heinisch finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Nassourdine Imavov 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.