Ian Heinisch vs Omari Akhmedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record24-8-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Genesis MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Omari Akhmedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ian Heinisch carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1702
If they lose-15→ 1670
If they win+11→ 1726
If they lose-13→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ian HeinischOmari Akhmedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Omari Akhmedov51%
Ian Heinisch 49%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Omari Akhmedov a 51% favorite over Ian Heinisch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Omari Akhmedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1685, a 30-point edge.
Ian Heinisch enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ian Heinisch finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Omari Akhmedov 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.