Iasmin Lucindo vs Mackenzie Dern
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record17-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
66″Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fight HouseTeamRVCA
What's at stake
Mackenzie Dern is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Iasmin Lucindo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1728
If they lose-15→ 1696
If they win+15→ 1750
If they lose-17→ 1718
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Iasmin LucindoMackenzie Dern
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mackenzie Dern82%
Iasmin Lucindo 18%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Mackenzie Dern a 82% favorite over Iasmin Lucindo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Mackenzie Dern holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1735 to 1711, a 24-point edge.
Mackenzie Dern enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Iasmin Lucindo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Mackenzie Dern 47%.
Iasmin Lucindo and Mackenzie Dern share 3 common opponents: Angela Hill, Amanda Lemos and Marina Rodriguez.
Iasmin Lucindo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.