Combat Edge Intelligence

Iasmin Lucindo vs Xiaonan Yan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record19-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
66″Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fight HouseTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

Xiaonan Yan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Iasmin Lucindo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Iasmin LucindoNow 1711
If they win+17→ 1728
If they lose-15→ 1696
Xiaonan YanNow 1734
If they win+15→ 1749
If they lose-17→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
4.69
45%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
66%
Strike defense
60%
2.15
Takedown avg.
0.84
60%
Takedown accuracy
0%
55%
Takedown defense
65%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Iasmin LucindoXiaonan Yan
165017001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
3 (17%)
Submission
1 (5%)
7 (39%)
Decision
10 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Iasmin Lucindo66%
Xiaonan Yan 34%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Iasmin Lucindo a 66% favorite over Xiaonan Yan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Xiaonan Yan's way (47%).

Xiaonan Yan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1711, a 23-point edge.

Iasmin Lucindo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Xiaonan Yan 47%.

Iasmin Lucindo and Xiaonan Yan share 3 common opponents: Angela Hill, Marina Rodriguez and Karolina Kowalkiewicz.

Iasmin Lucindo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinDecision (Split) · 2024
Marina Rodriguez
LossDecision (split) · 2022
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Angela Hill
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2019