
Iasmin Lucindo vs Xiaonan Yan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Xiaonan Yan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Iasmin Lucindo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Iasmin Lucindo a 66% favorite over Xiaonan Yan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Xiaonan Yan's way (47%).
Xiaonan Yan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1711, a 23-point edge.
Iasmin Lucindo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Xiaonan Yan 47%.
Iasmin Lucindo and Xiaonan Yan share 3 common opponents: Angela Hill, Marina Rodriguez and Karolina Kowalkiewicz.
Iasmin Lucindo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.