Ibo Aslan vs Iwo Baraniewski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record9-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
77"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gym 23· 1685 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAligatores Fight Club
What's at stake
Iwo Baraniewski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Ibo Aslan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1667
If they lose-13→ 1635
If they win+19→ 1735
If they lose-29→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ibo AslanIwo Baraniewski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Iwo Baraniewski71%
Ibo Aslan 29%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Iwo Baraniewski a 71% favorite over Ibo Aslan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Iwo Baraniewski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1648, a 68-point edge.
Ibo Aslan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Iwo Baraniewski enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Ibo Aslan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Iwo Baraniewski 100%.
Ibo Aslan carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.