Ibo Aslan vs Iwo Baraniewski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0 Record 9-0-0
Light Heavyweight Division Light Heavyweight
6'3" Height 6'0"
77" Reach 73"
205 lbs Weight 205 lbs
Gym 23 Team Aligatores Fight Club
What's at stake
Iwo Baraniewski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Ibo Aslan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1667
If they lose-13→ 1635
If they win+20→ 1731
If they lose-28→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ibo Aslan Iwo Baraniewski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Iwo Baraniewski75%
Ibo Aslan25%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Iwo Baraniewski a 75% favorite over Ibo Aslan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Iwo Baraniewski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1648, a 63-point edge.
Ibo Aslan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Iwo Baraniewski enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Ibo Aslan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Iwo Baraniewski 100%.
Ibo Aslan carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.