Ibo Aslan vs Vladimir Vasilyev
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Vladimir Vasilyev53%
Ibo Aslan 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Vladimir Vasilyev a 53% favorite over Ibo Aslan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1649), separated by just 1 points.
Ibo Aslan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ibo Aslan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vladimir Vasilyev 86%.
Ibo Aslan carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record14-5-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
77"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight187 lbs
Gym 23· 1609 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamSport Club First Line
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ibo AslanVladimir Vasilyev