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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ibragim Magomedov vs Junior dos Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-8-1Record23-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach77"
230 lbsWeight250 lbs
Red Devil Sport ClubTeamChampion Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ibragim MagomedovNow 1647
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635
Junior dos SantosNow 1643
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.49
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
Not available
Strike defense
56%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.30
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
82%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Ibragim MagomedovJunior dos Santos
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
16 (70%)
5 (23%)
Submission
1 (4%)
5 (23%)
Decision
6 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Junior dos Santos69%
Ibragim Magomedov 31%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Junior dos Santos a 69% favorite over Ibragim Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ibragim Magomedov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1643), separated by just 4 points.

Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Ibragim Magomedov finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Junior dos Santos 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.