
Ibrahima Wade vs Jovan Todorović
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.


Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Jovan Todorović a 55% favorite over Ibrahima Wade in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ibrahima Wade's way (45%).
Ibrahima Wade holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1555 to 1521, a 34-point edge.
Ibrahima Wade enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ibrahima Wade finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Ibrahima Wade is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Jovan Todorović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.