Combat Edge Intelligence

Ignacio Bahamondes vs Rongzhu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rongzhu
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Rongzhu

27-6-0LightweightUFC

1733Good

Tale of the tape

17-7-0Record27-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'11"
75"Reach72"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
Valle Flow StrikingTeamEnbo Fight Club

What's at stake

Rongzhu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ignacio Bahamondes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ignacio BahamondesNow 1691
If they win+18→ 1709
If they lose-14→ 1677
RongzhuNow 1733
If they win+11→ 1744
If they lose-13→ 1720

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.55
Sig. strikes / min
6.02
46%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.44
56%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
1.35
0%
Takedown accuracy
63%
75%
Takedown defense
84%
0.43
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Ignacio BahamondesRongzhu
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (65%)
KO/TKO
15 (58%)
2 (12%)
Submission
6 (23%)
4 (24%)
Decision
5 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ignacio Bahamondes and Rongzhu within a point of even.

Rongzhu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1691, a 42-point edge.

Ignacio Bahamondes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rongzhu enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ignacio Bahamondes finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Rongzhu 81%.

Ignacio Bahamondes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.