Ignacio Bahamondes vs Thomas Blackorby
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Ignacio Bahamondes66%
Thomas Blackorby 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ignacio Bahamondes a 66% favorite over Thomas Blackorby in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1707), separated by just 3 points.
Thomas Blackorby enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Ignacio Bahamondes finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Blackorby 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record6-0-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"Reach-
156 lbsWeight170 lbs
Valle Flow Striking· 1678 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamPeoria Athletic Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ignacio BahamondesThomas Blackorby