Combat Edge Intelligence

Ihor Potieria vs Marc-André Barriault

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-8-0Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Standard ProTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ihor PotieriaNow 1639
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1627
Marc-André BarriaultNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.57
Sig. strikes / min
5.70
50%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.63
51%
Strike defense
51%
0.77
Takedown avg.
0.37
19%
Takedown accuracy
29%
67%
Takedown defense
68%
0
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Ihor PotieriaMarc-André Barriault
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
6 (30%)
Submission
1 (6%)
5 (25%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Marc-André Barriault60%
Ihor Potieria 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marc-André Barriault a 60% favorite over Ihor Potieria in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ihor Potieria's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.

Ihor Potieria enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marc-André Barriault enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ihor Potieria finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Marc-André Barriault 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.