Combat Edge Intelligence

Ihor Potieria vs Maurício Rua

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-8-0Record27-14-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Standard ProTeamUniversidade da Luta

What's at stake

Maurício Rua is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ihor Potieria carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ihor PotieriaNow 1640
If they win+14→ 1654
If they lose-10→ 1630
Maurício RuaNow 1691
If they win+10→ 1701
If they lose-14→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.57
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
50%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.79
51%
Strike defense
54%
0.77
Takedown avg.
2.01
19%
Takedown accuracy
49%
67%
Takedown defense
49%
0
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Ihor PotieriaMaurício Rua
16501700175020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
21 (78%)
6 (30%)
Submission
1 (4%)
5 (25%)
Decision
5 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Maurício Rua58%
Ihor Potieria 42%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Maurício Rua a 58% favorite over Ihor Potieria in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Maurício Rua holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1640, a 51-point edge.

Ihor Potieria enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Maurício Rua enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ihor Potieria finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Maurício Rua 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.