Ihor Potieria vs Maurício Rua
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-8-0Record27-14-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Standard ProTeamUniversidade da Luta
What's at stake
Maurício Rua is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ihor Potieria carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1677
If they lose-11→ 1653
If they win+11→ 1702
If they lose-13→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ihor PotieriaMaurício Rua
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ihor Potieria60%
Maurício Rua 40%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Ihor Potieria a 60% favorite over Maurício Rua in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Maurício Rua's way (46%).
Maurício Rua holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1664, a 27-point edge.
Maurício Rua enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ihor Potieria finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Maurício Rua 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.