Ike Villanueva vs Marcin Prachnio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-14-0Record17-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
73"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamTatsujin Dojo
What's at stake
Marcin Prachnio is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ike Villanueva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1554
If they lose-13→ 1522
If they win+9→ 1620
If they lose-15→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ike VillanuevaMarcin Prachnio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Prachnio72%
Ike Villanueva 28%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Prachnio a 72% favorite over Ike Villanueva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Marcin Prachnio holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1611 to 1535, a 76-point edge.
Ike Villanueva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ike Villanueva finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Prachnio 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.