Ilian Bouafia vs Josh Fremd
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record13-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height6'4"
78"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Boxing Squad· 1649 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1675
If they lose-24→ 1627
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ilian BouafiaJosh Fremd
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Fremd57%
Ilian Bouafia 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Fremd a 57% favorite over Ilian Bouafia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ilian Bouafia's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1651), separated by just 0 points.
Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ilian Bouafia finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Josh Fremd 77%.
Ilian Bouafia carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.