Ilir Latifi vs Rodrigo Nascimento
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-9-0Record12-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'4"
73"Reach80"
250 lbsWeight265 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Ilir Latifi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Rodrigo Nascimento carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1681
If they lose-18→ 1649
If they win+18→ 1639
If they lose-14→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1700 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ilir LatifiRodrigo Nascimento
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rodrigo Nascimento62%
Ilir Latifi 38%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Rodrigo Nascimento a 62% favorite over Ilir Latifi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ilir Latifi's way (43%).
Ilir Latifi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1621, a 46-point edge.
Rodrigo Nascimento enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ilir Latifi finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Nascimento 67%.
Ilir Latifi and Rodrigo Nascimento share 2 common opponents: Tanner Boser and Derrick Lewis.
Rodrigo Nascimento carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.