Combat Edge Intelligence

Ilir Latifi vs Rodrigo Nascimento

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ilir Latifi
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Ilir Latifi

“The Sledgehammer”

16-9-0HeavyweightUFC

1667Good

Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record11-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'4"
73"Reach80"
250 lbsWeight265 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ilir LatifiNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Rodrigo NascimentoNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1702 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
45%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.34
56%
Strike defense
45%
2.11
Takedown avg.
1.02
36%
Takedown accuracy
38%
100%
Takedown defense
61%
0.30
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Ilir LatifiRodrigo Nascimento
165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
4 (25%)
Submission
6 (55%)
6 (38%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodrigo Nascimento60%
Ilir Latifi 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodrigo Nascimento a 60% favorite over Ilir Latifi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ilir Latifi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1666), separated by just 1 points.

Ilir Latifi finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Nascimento 73%.

Ilir Latifi and Rodrigo Nascimento share 2 common opponents: Tanner Boser and Derrick Lewis.

Rodrigo Nascimento carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Derrick Lewis
LossKO/TKO · 2024
WinDecision (split) · 2021
Tanner Boser
WinDecision (split) · 2022