Imam Vitakhanov vs Magnus Conrado
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Magnus Conrado53%
Imam Vitakhanov 47%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Magnus Conrado a 53% favorite over Imam Vitakhanov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Imam Vitakhanov's way (45%).
Imam Vitakhanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1588, a 35-point edge.
Magnus Conrado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Imam Vitakhanov finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Magnus Conrado 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
157 lbsWeight157 lbs
Fight Club Berkut· 1633 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamHikari MMA
What's at stake
Imam Vitakhanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Magnus Conrado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1637
If they lose-18→ 1605
If they win+18→ 1606
If they lose-14→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Imam VitakhanovMagnus Conrado