Combat Edge Intelligence

Imanol Rodriguez vs Matt Schnell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record17-11-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'8"
64"Reach70"
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team BlackxicansTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Imanol Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Matt Schnell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Imanol RodriguezNow 1675
If they win+19→ 1694
If they lose-29→ 1646
Matt SchnellNow 1606
If they win+14→ 1620
If they lose-10→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.71
Sig. strikes / min
4.07
56%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
58%
Strike defense
55%
1.30
Takedown avg.
0.60
33%
Takedown accuracy
45%
0%
Takedown defense
43%
0
Submission avg.
1.21

Trajectory

Imanol RodriguezMatt Schnell
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (86%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
1 (14%)
Submission
9 (56%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Imanol Rodriguez76%
Matt Schnell 24%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Imanol Rodriguez a 76% favorite over Matt Schnell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Imanol Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1606, a 69-point edge.

Imanol Rodriguez enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Matt Schnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Imanol Rodriguez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matt Schnell 69%.

Matt Schnell carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.