Imanol Rodriguez vs Matt Schnell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-0-0Record17-11-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'8"
64"Reach70"
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team BlackxicansTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Imanol Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Matt Schnell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1708
If they lose-29→ 1660
If they win+15→ 1628
If they lose-9→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Imanol RodriguezMatt Schnell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Imanol Rodriguez70%
Matt Schnell 30%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Imanol Rodriguez a 70% favorite over Matt Schnell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Imanol Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1689 to 1613, a 76-point edge.
Imanol Rodriguez enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Matt Schnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Imanol Rodriguez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matt Schnell 69%.
Matt Schnell carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.