Ion Cutelaba vs Jonathan Wilson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-12-1Record9-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75"Reach75,0"
205 lbsWeight217 lbs
What's at stake
Ion Cutelaba is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Wilson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1650
If they lose-15→ 1626
If they win+20→ 1566
If they lose-12→ 1534
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ion CutelabaJonathan Wilson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ion Cutelaba64%
Jonathan Wilson 36%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Ion Cutelaba a 64% favorite over Jonathan Wilson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Ion Cutelaba holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1641 to 1546, a 95-point edge.
Jonathan Wilson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ion Cutelaba finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Wilson 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.