Combat Edge Intelligence

Ion Cutelaba vs Nell Ariano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ion Cutelaba
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Ion Cutelaba

“The Hulk”

20-12-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1641 Solid

Tale of the tape

20-12-1 Record 6-0-0
Light Heavyweight Division Light Heavyweight
6'1" Height 6'4"
75" Reach -
205 lbs Weight 206 lbs
Timoshkov Sport Club Team Platinum MMA Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ion CutelabaNow 1641
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629
Nell ArianoNow 1634
If they win+24→ 1658
If they lose-24→ 1610

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.42
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
4.02
Takedown avg.
TBD
7%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
76%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.27
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ion Cutelaba Nell Ariano
1550 1600 1650 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

13 (65%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
4 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (15%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Nell Ariano71%
Ion Cutelaba29%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Nell Ariano a 71% favorite over Ion Cutelaba in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ion Cutelaba's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1634), separated by just 7 points.

Nell Ariano enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Ion Cutelaba finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Nell Ariano 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.