Combat Edge Intelligence

Ion Cutelaba vs Nell Ariano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ion Cutelaba
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Ion Cutelaba

“The Hulk”

20-12-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1641Solid

Tale of the tape

20-12-1Record6-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
75"Reach-
205 lbsWeight206 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ion CutelabaNow 1641
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629
Nell ArianoNow 1637
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
4.02
Takedown avg.
TBD
7%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
76%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.27
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ion CutelabaNell Ariano
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

13 (65%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
4 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (15%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ion Cutelaba and Nell Ariano within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1637), separated by just 4 points.

Nell Ariano enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Ion Cutelaba finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Nell Ariano 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.