Irakli Kuchukhidze vs Lucas Cortes
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Irakli Kuchukhidze57%
Lucas Cortes 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Irakli Kuchukhidze a 57% favorite over Lucas Cortes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucas Cortes's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1513 vs 1517), separated by just 4 points.
Irakli Kuchukhidze enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Irakli Kuchukhidze finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Cortes 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
4-5-0Record3-2-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-Reach75"
171 lbsWeight180 lbs
Fight Club MotivatorTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1537
If they lose-24→ 1489
If they win+24→ 1541
If they lose-24→ 1493
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Irakli KuchukhidzeLucas Cortes