Irene Aldana vs Karol Rosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record19-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
68"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeamParana Vale Tudo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Irene AldanaKarol Rosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karol Rosa63%
Irene Aldana 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Karol Rosa a 63% favorite over Irene Aldana in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Irene Aldana's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1647), separated by just 1 points.
Irene Aldana finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Karol Rosa 32%.
Irene Aldana and Karol Rosa share 3 common opponents: Norma Dumont, Yana Santos and Bethe Correia.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.