Combat Edge Intelligence

Irene Aldana vs Katlyn Cerminara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record18-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'9"
68"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeamTeam Renzo Gracie

What's at stake

Katlyn Cerminara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Irene Aldana carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Irene AldanaNow 1648
If they win+19→ 1667
If they lose-13→ 1635
Katlyn CerminaraNow 1713
If they win+10→ 1723
If they lose-14→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.19
Sig. strikes / min
4.58
40%
Strike accuracy
35%
6.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.48
56%
Strike defense
62%
0.15
Takedown avg.
0.31
50%
Takedown accuracy
16%
78%
Takedown defense
50%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Irene AldanaKatlyn Cerminara
165017001750202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
3 (20%)
Submission
1 (6%)
4 (27%)
Decision
15 (83%)

Combat Edge model read

Katlyn Cerminara75%
Irene Aldana 25%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Katlyn Cerminara a 75% favorite over Irene Aldana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Katlyn Cerminara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1648, a 65-point edge.

Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Irene Aldana finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Katlyn Cerminara 17%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.