Irene Aldana vs Ketlen Vieira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'9"
68"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Ketlen Vieira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Irene Aldana carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1665
If they lose-15→ 1633
If they win+15→ 1687
If they lose-17→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Irene AldanaKetlen Vieira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ketlen Vieira70%
Irene Aldana 30%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ketlen Vieira a 70% favorite over Irene Aldana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ketlen Vieira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1648, a 24-point edge.
Irene Aldana finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Ketlen Vieira 38%.
Irene Aldana and Ketlen Vieira share 5 common opponents: Norma Dumont, Macy Chiasson, Yana Santos and Holly Holm, among 5 in total.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.