Irina Alekseeva vs Melissa Mullins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record7-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
67"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight138 lbs
Raty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamLions Gym Coventry
What's at stake
Melissa Mullins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Irina Alekseeva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1555
If they lose-19→ 1507
If they win+13→ 1607
If they lose-19→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Irina AlekseevaMelissa Mullins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Melissa Mullins71%
Irina Alekseeva 29%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Mullins a 71% favorite over Irina Alekseeva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Melissa Mullins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1594 to 1526, a 68-point edge.
Irina Alekseeva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Melissa Mullins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Irina Alekseeva finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Mullins 57%.
Irina Alekseeva and Melissa Mullins share 2 common opponents: Bia Mesquita and Klaudia Syguła.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.