Irwin Rivera vs Kris Moutinho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record14-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
36,0"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Sanford MMATeamRivera Athletic Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Irwin RiveraKris Moutinho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kris Moutinho59%
Irwin Rivera 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kris Moutinho a 59% favorite over Irwin Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Irwin Rivera's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1585), separated by just 0 points.
Kris Moutinho enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Irwin Rivera finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Kris Moutinho 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.