Isaac Herbert vs Jesus Gutierrez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record8-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Tristar GymTeamBonebreakers MMA· 1627 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Isaac Herbert is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +18 while a loss costs more — Jesus Gutierrez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1593
If they lose-30→ 1545
If they win+20→ 1508
If they lose-12→ 1476
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Isaac HerbertJesus Gutierrez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Isaac Herbert58%
Jesus Gutierrez 42%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Herbert a 58% favorite over Jesus Gutierrez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Isaac Herbert holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1575 to 1488, a 87-point edge.
Isaac Herbert enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jesus Gutierrez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Isaac Herbert finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jesus Gutierrez 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.