Isaac Herbert vs Jesus Gutierrez

Nov 6, 2026 · UFC FIGHT PASS

Combat Edge model forecast58%Isaac Herbert42%Jesus GutierrezFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 6, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueCasino Du Lac Leamy

BroadcastUFC FIGHT PASS

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, November 6, 2026 — watch on UFC FIGHT PASS.

US East (ET): Fri 6:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 3:00 PM
United Kingdom: Fri 11:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 10:00 AM
Your time

Isaac HerbertThe Hooligan |3-0-0Isaac Herbert vs Jesus GutierrezJesus GutierrezTiburon |8-8-0

Isaac HerbertThe Hooligan3-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

3-0-0Record8-8-0

23AgeTBD

5'8"Height5'5"

-Reach-

135 lbsWeight125 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Jesus GutierrezTiburon8-8-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Isaac Herbert owns a 87-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Isaac Herbert and Jesus Gutierrez across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Isaac HerbertJesus Gutierrez

Recent form

Isaac HerbertW W W · +75 Elo last 3

WWW

Jesus GutierrezL L L L W · -58 Elo last 5

LLLLW

Elo edge

Isaac Herbert1575+22 last move

Jesus Gutierrez1488-9 last move

Why they are ranked here

Isaac Herbert#254 of 373 active Bantamweight fighters · 1575 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Lucas Taylor (rated 1529 at the time): +31.
Last 3 fights: 3 wins, 0 losses, +75 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #253 Artur Gadzhikhanov, 0 ahead of #255 Paul Denis Navero.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1500 Elo over the last 3 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Jesus Gutierrez#80 of 87 active Catchweight fighters · 1488 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Brayan Martínez (rated 1500 at the time): +26.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jorge Calvo (rated 1562 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -58 Elo in total.
Next places: 8 points behind #79 Alex Keogh, 6 ahead of #81 Adryen Spinks.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

58%Isaac Herbert42%Jesus Gutierrez

Model favoriteIsaac Herbert

Elo baseline62% for Isaac Herbert

Matchup adjustment-4 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Isaac HerbertStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Isaac Herbert leads the full model at 58%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 5 points.

Current Elo ratings1575 · 1488Isaac Herbert leads by 87 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1500 · 1513Jesus Gutierrez faced the stronger recent schedule (3 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth3 · 17 fightsJesus Gutierrez has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Isaac HerbertNow 1575 · #254 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1593

Loses by decision-30→ 1545

Jesus GutierrezNow 1488 · #80 Catchweight

Wins by decision+20→ 1508

Loses by decision-12→ 1476

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Isaac HerbertvsJesus Gutierrez

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Isaac Herbertsubmission leads 67% of wins

Jesus Gutierrezsubmission leads 75% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Isaac HerbertJesus Gutierrez

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

0Wins by knockout1

2Wins by submission6

1Wins by decision1

0Losses by knockout2

0Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision5

Isaac Herbert vs Jesus Gutierrez is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on SAMOURAI MMA 22 : BONIN VS AVELLAN. Isaac Herbert enters with a 3-0-0 record and Jesus Gutierrez enters with a 8-8-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.