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Combat Edge Intelligence

Isaac Herbert vs Sebastian Polanco

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record3-3-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tristar GymTeamDemon Team

What's at stake

Isaac Herbert is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Sebastian Polanco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Isaac HerbertNow 1573
If they win+19→ 1592
If they lose-29→ 1544
Sebastian PolancoNow 1502
If they win+29→ 1531
If they lose-19→ 1483

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1490 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Isaac HerbertSebastian Polanco
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
2 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Isaac Herbert54%
Sebastian Polanco 46%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Herbert a 54% favorite over Sebastian Polanco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Isaac Herbert holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1573 to 1502, a 71-point edge.

Isaac Herbert enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Sebastian Polanco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Isaac Herbert finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sebastian Polanco 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.