Combat Edge Intelligence

Isaiah Metituk vs Issa Hosokawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-6-0Record0-1-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
-Reach-
130 lbsWeight152 lbs
Universal MMATeamFreelance· 1618 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Issa Hosokawa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Isaiah Metituk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Isaiah MetitukNow 1446
If they win+17→ 1463
If they lose-15→ 1431
Issa HosokawaNow 1473
If they win+22→ 1495
If they lose-26→ 1447

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Isaiah MetitukIssa Hosokawa
14501500202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (75%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Issa Hosokawa71%
Isaiah Metituk 29%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Issa Hosokawa a 71% favorite over Isaiah Metituk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Issa Hosokawa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1473 to 1446, a 27-point edge.

Isaiah Metituk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Isaiah Metituk finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.