Islam Geroev vs Raulian Paiva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record23-6-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'8"
-Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
TeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1672
If they lose-24→ 1624
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Islam GeroevRaulian Paiva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Islam Geroev66%
Raulian Paiva 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Islam Geroev a 66% favorite over Raulian Paiva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1648), separated by just 0 points.
Islam Geroev finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Raulian Paiva 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.