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Combat Edge Intelligence

Islam Youssef vs Marcello Morelli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record8-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'8"
66"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Moksha TeamTeamUniq Fight Club· 1591 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Islam YoussefNow 1584
If they win+24→ 1608
If they lose-24→ 1560
Marcello MorelliNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Islam YoussefMarcello Morelli
1450150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
3 (43%)
Submission
1 (13%)
2 (29%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Islam Youssef and Marcello Morelli within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1584), separated by just 0 points.

Marcello Morelli enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Islam Youssef finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Marcello Morelli 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.