Combat Edge Intelligence

Ismael Bonfim vs Nazim Sadykhov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record11-3-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamLongo and Weidman MMA

What's at stake

Nazim Sadykhov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ismael Bonfim carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ismael BonfimNow 1662
If they win+17→ 1679
If they lose-15→ 1647
Nazim SadykhovNow 1685
If they win+15→ 1700
If they lose-17→ 1668

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.51
Sig. strikes / min
4.79
54%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.49
65%
Strike defense
49%
1.06
Takedown avg.
1.10
33%
Takedown accuracy
45%
77%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Ismael BonfimNazim Sadykhov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
4 (20%)
Submission
2 (18%)
7 (35%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ismael Bonfim and Nazim Sadykhov within a point of even.

Nazim Sadykhov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1662, a 23-point edge.

Ismael Bonfim enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nazim Sadykhov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ismael Bonfim finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Nazim Sadykhov 91%.

Ismael Bonfim and Nazim Sadykhov share 1 common opponent: Terrance McKinney.

Ismael Bonfim carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2023
Terrance McKinney
WinSubmission · 2023