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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ismael Bonfim vs Ryan Couture

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1624 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ismael BonfimNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Ryan CoutureNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.10
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
54%
Strike accuracy
32%
3.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
14.02
63%
Strike defense
55%
1.22
Takedown avg.
0.63
7%
Takedown accuracy
8%
77%
Takedown defense
47%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ismael BonfimRyan Couture
165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
4 (20%)
Submission
6 (50%)
7 (35%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Ismael Bonfim73%
Ryan Couture 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ismael Bonfim a 73% favorite over Ryan Couture in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1642), separated by just 0 points.

Ismael Bonfim enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ismael Bonfim finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Couture 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.