Ismael Bonfim vs Terrance McKinney
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamWarrior Camp
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
If they win+12→ 1674
If they lose-12→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ismael BonfimTerrance McKinney
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ismael Bonfim and Terrance McKinney within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1662), separated by just 0 points.
Ismael Bonfim enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ismael Bonfim finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Terrance McKinney 100%.
Ismael Bonfim and Terrance McKinney share 1 common opponent: Nazim Sadykhov.
Terrance McKinney carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.