Ismail Naurdiev vs Lyoto Machida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-8-0Record26-12-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Top Team SalzburgTeamAPAM
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ismail NaurdievLyoto Machida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ismail Naurdiev64%
Lyoto Machida 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ismail Naurdiev a 64% favorite over Lyoto Machida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1683), separated by just 0 points.
Ismail Naurdiev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Lyoto Machida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ismail Naurdiev finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Lyoto Machida 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.